July 2, Tuesday; 15:00 IST
Live on Star Sports, streaming on Hotstar
The main picture
A quick look at the points table will tell you that Bangladesh are sixth, have won only half the matches they have played (one was washed out) and are a loss away from being out of the top-four race. What it won’t tell you is, captain Mashrafe Mortaza has been tactically excellent and the wins against South Africa and Afghanistan have the imprint of his decision-making; that Shakib Al Hasan has been the best all-rounder in the tournament, which has only further enhanced his credentials as an all-time great; a middle order that has lent stability and won matches for the team. In the end, if they don’t make the semi-finals, Mortaza and co. will leave the UK with somewhat of a hollow feeling because though they have pushed boundaries, the end result will still be a disappointment.
Beating India, a genuine contender to win the World Cup, will help Bangladesh avoid the hollow feeling; in fact, a victory on Tuesday will boost their chances of qualifying for the semi-finals. They have had a week to plot India’s downfall and will take inspiration from England’s victory on Sunday. The 2018 Asia Cup final was not that long ago and Bangladesh were involved in a last-ball thriller in Dubai, and that might suggest they have the measure of Virat Kohli and co. going into Tuesday’s do-or-die match.
Bangladesh’s biggest problem so far at this World Cup has been their bowling. Mortaza has just one wicket in the tournament and while Mustafizur Rahman, Shakib and Mohammad Saifuddin have been among the wickets, their economy rates of six-plus runs per over mean the wickets are coming at a significant cost of runs. Bangladesh have conceded two totals in excess of 380, while Shakib’s brilliance with the bat helped achieve a stiff, 300-plus chase against the West Indies with ease. In essence, the batsmen have not been helped by the considerable lack of potency from the bowling unit.
Against India, therefore, the spotlight will once again be on Bangladesh’s wicket-taking ability over a 50-over innings. Ideally, they would like to bat first, post a score of around 300 and help the bowlers feed off the scoreboard pressure against an Indian batting line-up that is not firing on all cylinders.
India will like to believe the loss to England was just a blip and not quite a reality check. The bowlers, who had been the architects of four of India’s five wins before Sunday, had a poor outing, with the spinners Yuzvendra Chahal and Kuldeep Yadav particularly disappointing. The lack of firepower in the middle order meant India literally gave up on the run-chase. Whether the team management look at these talking points as issues that need to be addressed or they retain the faith in the players who have been automatic picks in the playing XI so far remains to be seen.
An uncertain India facing a spirited Bangladesh is certainly appetising as a contest. Both teams need to raise their game, Bangladesh, despite coming into this match on the back of a win over Afghanistan, perhaps more than India.
Weather forecast and pitch report
Tuesday’s forecast is for sunshine for a majority of the day with a maximum temperature of 19-degree Celsius.
India and Bangladesh are likely to play on the same pitch that was used for Sunday’s India vs England match, which produced an aggregate of 643 runs. The pitch slowed down and the bounce became variable when India began their chase of 338, which suggests that the spinners will have a major role to play on Tuesday and batting, too, might be challenging compared to how England made it look.
India vs Bangladesh Dream11 team prediction
Virat Kohli (c), Rohit Sharma, Shakib Al Hasan, Hardik Pandya, Mushfiqur Rahim, Mahmudullah, Mosaddek Hossain, Mohammed Shami, Jasprit Bumrah, Mustafizur Rahman, Kuldeep Yadav
India vs Bangladesh predicted playing 11
Possible India playing 11: 1 Virat Kohli (c), 2 Rohit Sharma, 3 KL Rahul, 4 Rishabh Pant, 5 MS Dhoni (wk), 6 Hardik Pandya, 7 Kedar Jadhav, 8 Ravindra Jadeja, 9 Mohammed Shami, 10 Jasprit Bumrah, 11 Kuldeep Yadav
Possbile Bangladesh playing 11: 1 Mashrafe Mortaza (c), 2 Tamim Iqbal, 3 Soumya Sarkar, 4 Shakib Al Hasan, 5 Liton Das, 6 Mushfiqur Rahim, 7 Mahmudullah, 8 Mosaddek Hossain, 9 Mehidy Hasan, 10 Mohammad Saifuddin, 11 Mustafizur Rahman
India vs Bangladesh match prediction
The onus is on the Bangladeshi bowlers to take early wickets and get into India’s weak link, which is their middle order. The contest is essentially between the Bangladeshi bowlers and the Indian batsmen. Whoever wins this battle will likely lead their team to victory.